一、The data
我們將建立一個邏輯回歸模型來預測一個學生是否被大學錄取。假設你是一個大學系的管理員,你想根據兩次考試的結果來決定每個申請人的錄取機會。你有以前的申請人的歷史數據,你可以用它作為邏輯回歸的訓練集。對於每一個培訓例子,你有兩個考試的申請人的分數和錄取決定。為了做到這一點,我們將建立一個分類模型,根據考試成績估計入學概率。
#三大件 import numpy as np import pandas as pd import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import os path = 'data' + os.sep + 'LogiReg_data.txt' pdData = pd.read_csv(path, header=None, names=['Exam 1', 'Exam 2', 'Admitted']) pdData.head()
Exam 1 | Exam 2 | Admitted | |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 34.623660 | 78.024693 | 0 |
1 | 30.286711 | 43.894998 | 0 |
2 | 35.847409 | 72.902198 | 0 |
3 | 60.182599 | 86.308552 | 1 |
4 | 79.032736 | 75.344376 | 1 |
pdData.shape #(100, 3)
展示圖形:
positive = pdData[pdData['Admitted'] == 1] # 被錄取的學生的數據 negative = pdData[pdData['Admitted'] == 0] # 未被錄取的學生的數據 fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(10,5)) #定義一個畫圖區域 # 2個散點圖:ax.scatter(x軸數據,y軸數據, s=顏色飽和度,c=顏色,maker=散點的標記圖形,label=label導航標題) ax.scatter(positive['Exam 1'], positive['Exam 2'], s=30, c='b', marker='o', label='Admitted') ax.scatter(negative['Exam 1'], negative['Exam 2'], s=30, c='r', marker='x', label='Not Admitted') ax.legend() ax.set_xlabel('Exam 1 Score') #設置x軸的標題 ax.set_ylabel('Exam 2 Score')
取得以上兩個散點圖的分界線
二、The logistic regression:邏輯回歸
目標:建立分類器(求解出三個參數 θ0θ1θ2),θ0偏置項θ1第一次測試的成績θ2第二次測試的成績
設定閾值,根據閾值判斷錄取結果
要完成的模塊
-
sigmoid
: 映射到概率的函數 -
model
: 返回預測結果值 -
cost
: 根據參數計算損失 -
gradient
: 計算每個參數的梯度方向 -
descent
: 進行參數更新
accuracy
: 計算精度

三、實現邏輯回歸的各模塊
1.sigmoid函數:
def sigmoid(z): return 1 / (1 + np.exp(-z))
測試sigmoid函數:
nums = np.arange(-10, 10, step=1) # -10到10之間,步長為1的數字列表 fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(12,4)) ax.plot(nums, sigmoid(nums), 'r')
2.預測函數
# 預測函數h;np.dot(X, theta.T)兩個矩陣相乘,如圖所示 def model(X, theta): return sigmoid(np.dot(X, theta.T))
查看數據:
pdData.insert(0, 'Ones', 1) # in a try / except structure so as not to return an error if the block si executed several times # set X (training data) and y (target variable) orig_data = pdData.as_matrix() # convert the Pandas representation of the data to an array useful for further computations cols = orig_data.shape[1] X = orig_data[:,0:cols-1] y = orig_data[:,cols-1:cols] # convert to numpy arrays and initalize the parameter array theta #X = np.matrix(X.values) #y = np.matrix(data.iloc[:,3:4].values) #np.array(y.values) # 構造theta矩陣結構 theta = np.zeros([1, 3])
X[:5] Out[10]: array([[ 1. , 34.62365962, 78.02469282], [ 1. , 30.28671077, 43.89499752], [ 1. , 35.84740877, 72.90219803], [ 1. , 60.18259939, 86.3085521 ], [ 1. , 79.03273605, 75.34437644]])
y[:5] Out[11]: array([[ 0.], [ 0.], [ 0.], [ 1.], [ 1.]])
theta # array([[ 0., 0., 0.]])
X.shape, y.shape, theta.shape # ((100, 3), (100, 1), (1, 3))
3.損失函數
# 損失函數 def cost(X, y, theta): left = np.multiply(-y, np.log(model(X, theta))) right = np.multiply(1 - y, np.log(1 - model(X, theta))) return np.sum(left - right) / (len(X)) # 求平均損失
cost(X, y, theta) # 0.6931471805599453
4.計算梯度
# 計算梯度,求偏導 def gradient(X, y, theta): grad = np.zeros(theta.shape) error = (model(X, theta)- y).ravel() for j in range(len(theta.ravel())): #for each parmeter term = np.multiply(error, X[:,j]) grad[0, j] = np.sum(term) / len(X) return grad
5.Gradient descent
比較3中不同梯度下降方法:批量梯度下降、隨機梯度下降、小批量梯度下降
STOP_ITER = 0 #根據迭代次數停止迭代 STOP_COST = 1 #根據損失值停止迭代 STOP_GRAD = 2 #根據梯度變化停止迭代 def stopCriterion(type, value, threshold): #設定三種不同的停止策略 if type == STOP_ITER: return value > threshold elif type == STOP_COST: return abs(value[-1]-value[-2]) < threshold elif type == STOP_GRAD: return np.linalg.norm(value) < threshold
import numpy.random #對數據進行洗牌,打亂原有數據的規律 def shuffleData(data): np.random.shuffle(data) cols = data.shape[1] X = data[:, 0:cols-1] y = data[:, cols-1:] return X, y
import time # stopType停止策略;thresh預值;alpha學習率 def descent(data, theta, batchSize, stopType, thresh, alpha): #梯度下降求解 init_time = time.time() i = 0 # 迭代次數 k = 0 # batch X, y = shuffleData(data) grad = np.zeros(theta.shape) # 計算的梯度 costs = [cost(X, y, theta)] # 損失值 while True: grad = gradient(X[k:k+batchSize], y[k:k+batchSize], theta) k += batchSize #取batch數量個數據 if k >= n: k = 0 X, y = shuffleData(data) #重新洗牌 theta = theta - alpha*grad # 參數更新 costs.append(cost(X, y, theta)) # 計算新的損失 i += 1 if stopType == STOP_ITER: value = i elif stopType == STOP_COST: value = costs elif stopType == STOP_GRAD: value = grad if stopCriterion(stopType, value, thresh): break return theta, i-1, costs, grad, time.time() - init_time
def runExpe(data, theta, batchSize, stopType, thresh, alpha): #import pdb; pdb.set_trace(); theta, iter, costs, grad, dur = descent(data, theta, batchSize, stopType, thresh, alpha) name = "Original" if (data[:,1]>2).sum() > 1 else "Scaled" name += " data - learning rate: {} - ".format(alpha) if batchSize==n: strDescType = "Gradient" elif batchSize==1: strDescType = "Stochastic" else: strDescType = "Mini-batch ({})".format(batchSize) name += strDescType + " descent - Stop: " if stopType == STOP_ITER: strStop = "{} iterations".format(thresh) elif stopType == STOP_COST: strStop = "costs change < {}".format(thresh) else: strStop = "gradient norm < {}".format(thresh) name += strStop print ("***{}\nTheta: {} - Iter: {} - Last cost: {:03.2f} - Duration: {:03.2f}s".format( name, theta, iter, costs[-1], dur)) fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(12,4)) ax.plot(np.arange(len(costs)), costs, 'r') ax.set_xlabel('Iterations') ax.set_ylabel('Cost') ax.set_title(name.upper() + ' - Error vs. Iteration') return theta
6.不同的停止策略
1).設定迭代次數
#選擇的梯度下降方法是基於所有樣本的 n=100 runExpe(orig_data, theta, n, STOP_ITER, thresh=5000, alpha=0.000001)
2).根據損失值停止
設定閾值 1E-6, 差不多需要110 000次迭代
runExpe(orig_data, theta, n, STOP_COST, thresh=0.000001, alpha=0.001)
3).根據梯度變化停止
設定閾值 0.05,差不多需要40 000次迭代
runExpe(orig_data, theta, n, STOP_GRAD, thresh=0.05, alpha=0.001)
7.對比不同的梯度下降方法
runExpe(orig_data, theta, 1, STOP_ITER, thresh=5000, alpha=0.001)
2).以上的結果:有點爆炸。。。很不穩定,再來試試把學習率調小一些
runExpe(orig_data, theta, 1, STOP_ITER, thresh=15000, alpha=0.000002)
速度快,但穩定性差,需要很小的學習率
3).Mini-batch descent
runExpe(orig_data, theta, 16, STOP_ITER, thresh=15000, alpha=0.001)
4).使用skleaning,進行數據預處理
from sklearn import preprocessing as pp scaled_data = orig_data.copy() scaled_data[:, 1:3] = pp.scale(orig_data[:, 1:3]) runExpe(scaled_data, theta, n, STOP_ITER, thresh=5000, alpha=0.001)
5).
runExpe(scaled_data, theta, n, STOP_GRAD, thresh=0.02, alpha=0.001)
6).
theta = runExpe(scaled_data, theta, 1, STOP_GRAD, thresh=0.002/5, alpha=0.001)
7).
runExpe(scaled_data, theta, 16, STOP_GRAD, thresh=0.002*2, alpha=0.001)
8.得到精度
#設定閾值 def predict(X, theta): return [1 if x >= 0.5 else 0 for x in model(X, theta)]
scaled_X = scaled_data[:, :3] y = scaled_data[:, 3] predictions = predict(scaled_X, theta) correct = [1 if ((a == 1 and b == 1) or (a == 0 and b == 0)) else 0 for (a, b) in zip(predictions, y)] accuracy = (sum(map(int, correct)) % len(correct)) print ('accuracy = {0}%'.format(accuracy))
accuracy = 89%